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Three scenarios for Ukraine’s electromobilization by 2030: from an inertial market to a European model

The preferential hype is over: the return of VAT from January 1, 2026 knocked down the wave of record imports of “EVs,” bringing the market back to reality. What awaits Ukraine’s electromobilization in four years? In a recent PhD dissertation study, Serhii Matusiak outlined three scenarios for developments through 2030 — from an inertial 10% to an ambitious 35%. We break down why the market’s future now depends not on cheap imports, but on the charging network and transparent battery condition.

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Source: Institute of Car Market Research.

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